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Thu, Jul 045:10 pm UTCloanDepot park
Track OnCBS Sports
Boston
Red Sox
BOS
Last 5 ML
W/L81-80
ATS74-87
O/U80-73-8
FINAL SCORE
6
-
5
Miami
Marlins
MIA
Last 5 ML
W/L62-100
ATS76-85
O/U86-68-8
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
81-80
Win /Loss
62-100
74-87
Spread
76-85
80-73-8
Over / Under
86-68-8
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
BOS @ MIA
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MONEYLINE
BOS @ MIA
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OVER / UNDER
BOS @ MIA
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88%
PUBLIC
12%
MONEY
81%
PUBLIC
19%
MONEY
Over94%
PUBLIC
Under6%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadBoston -1.5 +105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1732
229-217-4 in Last 450 MLB Picks
+343
12-9 in Last 21 MLB ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

If this series were a boxing match, it would have been stopped via TKO by now after the Red Sox have battered the Marlins two nights running by identical 8-3 and 7-2 scorelines. After facing a succession of capable offenses, Sox starter Nick Pivetta now gets the break of facing one of MLB's worst as Miami's run-scoring issues remain acute. Hardly good news for the Marlins as extended opener Kyle Tyler is going to give way early to his bullpen, which hasn't slowed down the Boston attack the past two nights.

Pick Made: Jul 04, 12:36 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey

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Team Injuries

Boston Red Sox
Saturday, Jun 07, 2025
Avatar
SP
Tanner Houck
ElbowIl
Avatar
SP
Kutter Crawford
KneeIl
Avatar
RP
Josh Winckowski
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Justin Slaten
ShoulderIl
Wednesday, Jun 04, 2025
Avatar
SP
Patrick Sandoval
ElbowIl
Tuesday, Jun 03, 2025
Avatar
RP
Nick Burdi
FootIl
Avatar
DH
Masataka Yoshida
ShoulderIl
Sunday, Jun 01, 2025
Avatar
RP
Hobie Harris
ShoulderIl
Avatar
RP
Jovani Moran
ElbowIl
Friday, May 30, 2025
Avatar
RP
Liam Hendriks
HipIl
Thursday, May 29, 2025
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3B
Alex Bregman
QuadricepsIl
Avatar
RP
Chris Murphy
ElbowIl
Saturday, May 24, 2025
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1B
Triston Casas
KneeIl
Miami Marlins
Saturday, Jun 07, 2025
Avatar
CF
Derek Hill
WristIl
Avatar
SP
Ryan Weathers
HeadQuestionable
Avatar
LF
Kyle Stowers
HandProbable
Avatar
RP
Woo-Suk Go
FingerIl
Friday, Jun 06, 2025
Avatar
RP
Jesus Tinoco
ForearmIl
Tuesday, Jun 03, 2025
Avatar
SP
Max Meyer
HipIl
Monday, Jun 02, 2025
Avatar
RP
Andrew Nardi
BackIl
Sunday, Jun 01, 2025
Avatar
SP
Eury Perez
ElbowIl
Avatar
1B
Jay Beshears
UndisclosedIl
Saturday, May 24, 2025
Avatar
C
Rob Brantly
LatIl
Wednesday, Apr 30, 2025
Avatar
LF
Griffin Conine
ShoulderIl
Wednesday, Feb 12, 2025
Avatar
SP
Braxton Garrett
ElbowIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
46-39, +335
30-56, -1677
34%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
61%
26-16, +902
16-29, -1068
35%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
57%
24-18, -88
27-46, -876
37%
When Line was -171 to -141
MONEY LINE
When Line was +117 to +147
71%
10-4, +242
8-15, -490
34%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
80%
12-3, +541
13-19, -267
40%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
56%
9-7, -129
13-24, -467
35%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
60%
30-20, +518
6-7, +143
46%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
59%
35-24, +849
20-38, -1136
34%
vs MIA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BOS
100%
2-0, +139
0-2, -200
0%
when Nick Pivetta starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Kyle Tyler starts
58%
7-5, +99
1-1, +29
50%
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