It’s the home opener for the World Champs…who for the first time ever reside in Arlington. The crowd plus Nate Evaldi make this a solid play.

The Cubs were third in the NL in runs last season and there's reason to believe they'll be better this year. The Rangers were the best AL offense by many measures and there are reasons to believe they'll be better. This ballpark is incredibly conducive to offense. Even with two All-Stars starting on the mound, we'll see plenty of scoring, even if it has to happen once the bullpens take over.

I like both of these teams overall this season, but I prefer the price point on the Rangers at home on opening day. My simulations indicate that they have a 56 percent chance of winning in this matchup, which implies a -127 on the moneyline. I'm a big fan of Justin Steele long-term, but I favor this Rangers lineup against left-handed pitching, and I also like Eovaldi in this environment.