This play is all about Jordan Montgomery, the Cardinals starting pitcher. He has a median stat line of 7 innings, five hits allowed, 1 run, 1 earned run, 1 walk and six strikeouts over his last five starts for an ERA of 1.41. That's the fourth-best mark in baseball over the past 35 days. CWS pitcher Dylan Cease has been solid over the same period of time. However, my model has Montgomery with a 60-cent advantage. Back the Cardinals.