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Fri 09/23 | 10:40 PM UTC | Cincinnati
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Milwaukee Brewers 81-70, -1282 ML
MIL -1.5-105
MIL -170
Over 8.5-110
Cincinnati Reds 59-92, -1522 ML
CIN +1.5-115
CIN +143
Under 8.5-110

Expert Picks

MLB | Milwaukee 5 @ Cincinnati 3 | 09/23 | 10:40 PM UTC

Milwaukee -170

WIN

ANALYSIS: I am remaking this play with Luis Cessa now starting for the Reds instead of Mike Minor because I always list starting pitchers. The Brewers hit righties much better than they do lefties so I actually like this matchup better. Luis Cessa has been solid since entering the rotation but he gives up home runs and walks. Eric Lauer has been great lately, his numbers are just inflated by his last start being at Coors Field. The Brewers are 11-5 against the Reds this season and 5-2 on the road, I think they continue to win and stay in the Wild Card race.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+1852 173-131 IN LAST 304 MLB ML PICKS
+3027 44-17 IN LAST 61 MIL ML PICKS
+358 4-1 IN LAST 5 CIN ML PICKS

Season Splits

81-70, -1282 ML
59-92, -1522 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
53%
80-70, -1342
59-91, -1422
39%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
48%
38-40, -831
30-45, -1028
40%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
56%
66-50, -1065
47-71, -333
39%
When Line was -179 to -149
MONEY LINE
When Line was +125 to +155
60%
17-11, -71
20-18, +972
52%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
50%
28-27, -812
18-28, -239
39%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
55%
41-33, -834
17-19, -93
47%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
53%
49-43, -1332
37-39, +425
48%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
50%
57-56, -1614
45-68, -978
39%
vs CIN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIL
68%
11-5, +103
5-11, -249
31%
when Eric Lauer starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Luis Cessa starts
57%
15-11, +160
4-3, +223
57%