Roansy Contreras has struggled in each of his last two outings but those were both on the road. He has yet to allow a run in three home appearances this season. Matt Swarmer has seriously struggled, and he has allowed 7 home runs in his past two outings. The Pirates are riding the momentum from O’Neill Cruz debuting last night and they have actually played well at home this season at 15-19. The Pirates bullpen is also ranked 15th in the league in the past 30 days while the Cubs bullpen is ranked dead last. I like the Pirates at home here.