loading...
Sun 05/15 | 5:40 PM UTC | Flushing
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Seattle Mariners 16-20, -443 ML
SEA +1.5-175
SEA +120
Over 7.5-105
N.Y. Mets 23-13, +422 ML
NYM -1.5+150
NYM -140
Under 7.5-115

Expert Picks

Seattle 8 @ N.Y. Mets 7 | 05/15 | 5:40 PM UTC

Seattle 120

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Mariners have actually been playing this series very close as they won on Friday and could have won yesterday. I am kicking myself for not playing Mariners Friday either because I thought there was some value with the Mets facing a lefty. The Mets crush righties but they’re actually one of the worst teams in the league against lefties. They have the 5th worst wOBA in the league against lefties, and the 5th worst wOBA in the league in the past three weeks against lefties as well. Robbie Ray has pitched really well this season outside one outing against the lefty crushing White Sox, and the Mariners backend bullpen is just as good as the Mets, if not better. The Mariners bullpen is also completely available while the Mets could have multiple pitchers unavailable. Take the value on the Mariners.

author-image

John Bollman

The Executive
+705 69-55 IN LAST 124 MLB ML PICKS
+1141 46-31 IN LAST 77 SEA ML PICKS
+1547 26-13 IN LAST 39 NYM ML PICKS

Season Splits

16-20, -443 ML
23-13, +422 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
45%
16-19, -343
23-13, +422
63%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
36%
7-12, -341
10-7, +5
58%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
36%
9-16, -526
20-11, +284
64%
When Line was +108 to +138
MONEY LINE
When Line was -160 to -130
33%
5-10, -425
5-6, -262
45%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
33%
6-12, -425
9-6, +13
60%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
50%
3-3, +140
7-5, +100
58%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
36%
7-12, -400
16-9, +264
64%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
37%
10-17, -816
17-9, +410
65%
vs NYM
HEAD TO HEAD
vs SEA
66%
2-1, +229
1-2, -134
33%
when Robbie Ray starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Carlos Carrasco starts
62%
5-3, +156
3-4, -177
42%