Zach Thompson has been very good this season with a 2.33 ERA while Carlos Carrassco allowed one run in four innings in his first start back from the IL. The Mets have looked lost recently and they are much worse on the road at 22-31. The Marlins are much better at home and they have been scoring recently despite trading away key players. This line should be much closer to 50-50, take the Marlins.