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This price flipped on the news that Indians starter Carlos Carrasco is headed to the injured list and the game will be handled by Tyler Clippard and the bullpen. There is now value Wednesday behind backing the Indians to make a dent in their 10.5-game deficit against the Twins, who are becoming overvalued in the market because of their sizzling first half of the season. Carlos Santanta has seven hits in his last 11 at-bats against Minnesota starter Martin Perez, and the Indians have won five of their past six home meetings in this series.
The Twins offense is ranked in the top five in almost every catagory. They are No. 1 in runs and in home runs plus they're the third most-difficult team to strike out. The three years prior to Martin Perez becoming a Twin, his ERA was 4.98 but as a Twin it is 3.71 however his xFIP is 4.38. Tyler Clippard will open for the Indians tonight with the bullpen doing the rest. The Indians offense ranks 26th against left-handed pitchers but I do believe they are far better. Over the last seven games they rank 11th in wOBA at .335 and 106 wRC+ both very improved marks and more reflective of the talent hitters in their lineup. Take the Over (-117).
The Indians have lost Carlos Carrasco's last three starts and he took the losses in all three decisions. The last two were his worst, allowing six runs in each. The Twins lost Tuesday and they haven't lost two straight since May 13. The Twins have won six of starter Martin Perez's nine starts this season. Back the Twins on Wednesday.
Wednesday Martin Perez will be aiming to respond from a woeful last start against the Tampa Bay Rays. Before the end of the third inning Perez was pulled after allowing six hits and six earned runs. His 7-2 record and the Twins dominant road record of 21-10 are market value attractors Wednesday. Yet look for the Indians to continue to score runs and for Carlos Carrasco to snap out of his three-game slide. Grab Cleveland.
Carlos Carrasco has been very hittable recently with a 7.13 ERA in his last three starts, although he is 4-6 with a 4.98 ERA this season. Martin Perez is coming off a poor start as well, but he is 7-2 with a 3.71 ERA. The Indians have the fifth worst OPS in the league against lefties, while the Twins have the best OPS in the league against righties. The Twins are 21-10 on the road, take the value in the road warriors.
The Twins have won six of nine starts by Martin Perez, who has historically thrown his best ball in June, where he’s a lifetime 9-1 in 12 starts. They’ve also won 12 of their last 15 on the road, and they face a pitcher in Carlos Carrasco who has a 7.13 ERA his last three starts.