Yankees vs. Orioles odds, lines: Proven model reveals MLB picks for July 5, 2023 matchup

The third and final game of a series between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles will take place on Wednesday with the Yankees looking to pull off a sweep at home. New York (48-38) won the first game 6-3 on a three-run homer by Harrison Bader in the eighth inning and then largely cruised to an 8-4 victory in Game 2. Now it will be Randy Vasquez taking the ball for the home team as they look to inch forward in the AL East race while Dean Kremer takes the ball for the Orioles (49-35). 

The game is slated to begin at 7:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. Baltimore is the -120 favorite (risk $120 to win $100) while New York is a +100 underdog on the money line in the latest Yankees vs. Orioles odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over/under for total runs scored is 9.5. (see the latest lines for every game on our MLB odds page).

Before making any Orioles vs. Yankees picks, you NEED to see the latest MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It has excelled on top-rated run-line picks this season, going 11-2 (+604). Anybody following has seen big returns!  

The model knows the Yankees will continue to lean on their dominant bullpen with Vasquez (1-1, 1.74 ERA) making just his third career start. New York's pen has the lowest ERA in Major League Baseball in 2023 and they've given up just one run over 8 2/3 innings so far in this series. But given the number of innings that they've eaten over the first two games, will Aaron Boone still have the depth to survive if Vazquez can't get into the sixth or seventh inning? Meanwhile, Bader has five RBI this series and Gleyber Torres is coming off a big game on Tuesday, going 2-for-4 with a home run, two RBI and three runs scored.

The model also knows that Baltimore will be hoping to get more out of their production at the plate on Wednesday. The Orioles have had 20 hits over the first two games with 15 of 18 starters recording hits during that span but have only managed seven runs thanks to 15 runners stranded. They could be in line for better fortune against Vazquez on Wednesday and they'll be hoping for a bounceback start from Kremer (8-4, 5.04 ERA). He gave up seven earned runs in his last start but had gone at least five innings while giving up three earned runs or less in nine of his previous 10 starts.

Now, it has set its sights on Yankees vs. Orioles. We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

So who wins Yankees vs. Orioles, and which side of the money line has ALL the value? Join SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that is profitable over the past two seasons on top-rated MLB money-line picks!