Wright State vs. Virginia odds, prediction: 2026 NCAA Tournament picks from proven model

The 14th-seeded Wright State Raiders will face the third-seeded Virginia Cavaliers in the first round of the NCAA Tournament Midwest Region on Friday. Wright State is coming off a 66-63 win over Detroit for the Horizon League Tournament championship on March 10, while Virginia dropped a 74-70 decision to Duke in the Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament championship game on Saturday. The Raiders (23-11), who have won five in a row, won the Horizon League regular season title as well with a 15-5 conference mark. The ninth-ranked Cavaliers (29-5), who have won 13 of 15, finished second in the ACC standings at 15-3.

Tip-off from Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia is set for 1:50 p.m. ET. This will be the first meeting between the schools. Virginia is an 18.5-point favorite in the latest Wright State vs. Virginia odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 144.5. 

Before making any Wright State vs. Virginia picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered the 2026 NCAA Tournament on a sizzling 11-1 run on top-ranked over/under picks dating back to last year, and is on a 28-22 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Wright State vs. Virginia 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Over on the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time!

So who wins Wright State vs. Virginia, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!