Wisconsin vs. Michigan odds, prediction: 2026 Big Ten Conference Tournament men's college basketball picks from proven model

The fifth-seeded Wisconsin Badgers will look to reach the Big Ten Tournament finals for the third consecutive season when they battle the top-seeded Michigan Wolverines, who are the defending tournament champions, in a semifinal matchup on Saturday. Wisconsin advanced on Friday with a 91-88 overtime win over the fourth-seeded Illinois Fighting Illini, while Michigan moved on with a 71-67 victory over eighth-seeded Ohio State Buckeyes. The Badgers (24-9), who have won five in a row, are three-time Big Ten Tournament champions, last winning it in 2015. The Wolverines (30-2), who have won five straight, have won three conference tournament titles.

Tip-off from the United Center in Chicago is set for 1 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+. Michigan leads the all-time series 98-79, but Wisconsin earned a 91-88 win on Jan. 10. Michigan is an 11.5-point favorite in the latest Wisconsin vs. Michigan odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 160.5. 

Before making any Wisconsin vs. Michigan picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered conference tournament week on a sizzling 14-2 run on top-ranked over/under picks dating back to last year, and is on an 28-21 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Wisconsin vs. Michigan 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, and it also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations!

So who wins Wisconsin vs. Michigan, and which side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!