Warriors vs. Trail Blazers line, picks: Odds and predictions for Thursday's NBA game from advanced computer model

The Golden State Warriors and Portland Trail Blazers return from the All-Star break with a matchup Thursday night at the Moda Center. The visiting Warriors (41-17) are in second place in the Western Conference, while Portland (25-34) is 10th and trying to hang on to a play-in spot for the playoffs.

Tipoff is set for 10 p.m. ET in Portland, Ore. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as a nine-point favorite in its latest Warriors vs. Trail Blazers odds, and the Over-Under for total points is set at 223.5. (Check out our  NBA odds page for up-to-date odds on every game available). 

Before you lock in any Blazers vs. Warriors picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 18 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 69-41 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,300. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The Warriors have won both meetings this season by at least 10 points, but they lost four of five heading into the All-Star break. Golden State remains one of the best shooting team in the league, while Portland is among the worst at defending. The Warriors are fifth in 3-point shooting (36.2 percent) and eighth overall (46.6), while Blazers opponents shoot 47.2 percent from the floor (26th) and 37.2 from outside (29th). Stephen Curry leads the team in scoring (25.8 points per game), assists (6.3) and steals (1.4).

The Blazers come in on a four-game win streak and want to maintain that momentum. They have scored more than 120 in consecutive games. Josh Hart, acquired in a trade with New Orleans, has scored at least 22 points in his three games. He averages a team-best 24 for the season. Jusuf Nurkic had 32 points and eight rebounds in a 123-119 victory against Memphis last Wednesday, while Anfernee Simons had 31. Simons averages 17 points but has scored at least 29 in each game during the four-game win streak.

Now, the model has set its sights on the Blazers vs. Warriors matchup, and we can tell you the model is leaning Under the total. It also has a spread pick that is hitting in more than 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Warriors vs. Blazers on Thursday night? And which side of the spread is hitting more than 60 percent of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Blazers vs. Warriors spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!