The Golden State Warriors will try to keep pace with Phoenix in the Western Conference when they host the Indiana Pacers on Thursday night at the Chase Center in San Francisco. The Warriors (32-12) own the second best record in the NBA, trailing only the Suns (34-9). Meanwhile the Pacers (16-29) ended a four-game losing streak on Wednesday with a come-from-behind 111-104 victory over LeBron James and the Lakers. 

Tip-off is at 10 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as a 11.5-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Pacers odds while the Over/Under is 217.5. 

Before making any Pacers vs. Warriors picks or NBA predictions, see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say. (Check out the odds of every game on SportsLine's NBA odds page.)

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 56-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows that Golden State is the best defensive team in the NBA. The Warriors give up just 102.2 points per 100 possessions, which leads the league by a full two points over the next best team, the Suns (104.2). Golden State is on pace to have the NBA's best defensive efficiency since the 2015-16 Spurs led the league at 98.2.

The model also knows that Indiana does an excellent job of protecting the rim. The Pacers average 5.9 blocks a game, which is second best in the NBA.

Now, the model has simulated Warriors vs. Pacers 10,000 times, and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over the total, predicting a combined 219 points, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting well over 60 percent of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

Who wins Pacers vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Warriors vs. Pacers spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NBA picks.