Warriors vs. Grizzlies line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Tuesday matchup

The Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors square off in a Western Conference tilt at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Golden State is favored by two points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 221 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Warriors vs. Grizzlies picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 13 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 52-28 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,000. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows Golden State is out-scoring opponents by 8.9 points per 100 possessions. The Warriors are averaging 27.9 assists per game, No. 2 in the NBA, and Golden State assists on more than 69 percent of field goals. The Warriors are in the top 10 of the league in offensive rebound rate (27.7 percent) and fast-break points (15.0 per game), with top-tier metrics in field-goal percentage (46.8 percent), 3-point percentage (35.9 percent) and 2-point percentage (56.1 percent). Golden State's defense is even better, leading the league in giving up fewer than 1.02 points per possession. Opponents are shooting only 42.5 percent against the Warriors, the best defensive mark in the league, and that includes a 49.8 percent clip on 2-point shots.

The model also knows Memphis is elite on offense, scoring more than 1.12 points per possession for the season. The Grizzlies lead the NBA in offensive rebound rate (33.2 percent), second-chance points (17.7 per game) and points in the paint (55.3 per game). Memphis is No. 2 in the league in fast-break points, averaging more than 16 per game, and the Grizzlies are in the top 10 in free- throw attempts (21.5 per game), assists (25.3 per game) and turnovers (13.5 per game). On defense, the Grizzlies are allowing only 1.08 points per possession, and Memphis leads the NBA in blocks (6.2 per game) and steals (10.2 per game).

Now, it has set its sights on Warriors vs. Grizzlies. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all of the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Warriors vs. Grizzlies? And which side of the spread has all of the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Warriors vs. Grizzlies spread you should be all over Tuesday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!