Utah State vs. Air Force odds, line, picks: Predictions for Friday's college football Week 3 matchup from advanced computer model

The Air Force Falcons host the Utah State Aggies on Friday night in a Mountain West Conference matchup on CBS Sports Network. The Falcons (2-0) beat Robert Morris 42-7 in their opener before getting a 13-3 victory against Sam Houston last Saturday. Utah State (1-1) kicked off with a 24-14 loss to then-No. 25 Iowa but rebounded with a 78-28 thrashing of Idaho State on Saturday.        

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET at Falcon Stadium near Colorado Springs. The latest SportsLine consensus Utah State vs. Air Force odds list the Falcons as 9.5-point favorites, and the over/under for total points scored is 45.5. (Head to SportsLine's college football odds page for the latest odds on every game).

Before you make any Air Force vs. Utah State picks or college football predictions, you NEED to see the predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of nearly $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

The model knows the Falcons have one of the nation's best defenses as well as an elite rushing offenses. Air Force led the nation in total defense (256 yards per game) and tied for third in points allowed (13.3 per game). They yielded just 80 total yards in last week's victory. The Falcons also are averaging 309 rushing yards through two games, led by quarterback Zac Larrier (164 yards in two games) and running backs Owen Burk (107) and John Lee Eldridge (8.3 yards per carry).

The model also has considered that Utah State should have a lot of confidence after a 50-point victory. The Aggies piled up 591 yards, averaging 8.6 per play, with 380 yards on the ground. Quarterback Cooper Legas is completing 72% of his passes and has three TD passes and one interception. Three USU running backs average more than 8 yards per carry and have rushed for more than 100 yards through two games, led by Rahsul Faison with 154. The defense has three takeaways.

Now, the model has set its sights on Friday's Utah State vs. Air Force matchup. We can tell you it is leaning Over on the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks!

Who wins Utah State vs. Air Force on Friday, and which side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Air Force vs. Utah State spread you should be all over Friday, all from the model that's up nearly $2,500 on top-rated CFB spread picks!