UMass vs. New Mexico State line, picks: Advanced computer college football model releases selections for season opening matchup

The New Mexico State Aggies face the UMass Minutemen in a Week 0 season-opening battle at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Aggies as 7-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 45 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college football odds page). 

Before making any UMass vs. New Mexico State picks, you NEED to check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows UMass enjoyed solid success on defense last season. The Minutemen allowed fewer than 180 passing yards per game, generating nine interceptions in the process. UMass also produced 71 tackles for loss, and the Minutemen are facing a New Mexico State team that completed only 52% of passes in 2022. 

The model also knows New Mexico State has the superior offense in this matchup. The Aggies are especially strong on the ground, averaging 161.5 rushing yards per game and 4.6 yards per carry last season. New Mexico State also returns the top two running backs from a year ago, including Star Thomas, who averaged 4.8 yards per carry with five touchdowns. 

Now, it has set its sights on UMass vs. New Mexico State. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks.

Who wins UMass vs. New Mexico State? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the UMass vs. New Mexico State spread you should be all over Saturday, all from the model that's up nearly $2,500 on top-rated CFB spread picks since its inception!