UMass vs. Miami (Ohio) odds, prediction: 2026 Mid-American Conference Tournament men's college basketball picks from proven model

The top-seeded Miami (Ohio) RedHawks look to stay perfect on the year when they battle the eighth-seeded Massachusetts Minutemen in a Mid-American Conference quarterfinal matchup on Thursday. UMass is coming off a 94-82 win over Ohio on March 3, while Miami defeated Ohio 110-108 in overtime on Friday to close out the regular season. The Minutemen (16-15), who are competing in their first-ever MAC Tournament, have lost six of their last seven games. The RedHawks (31-0), who are competing in their 34th MAC Tournament, have won four league tournament championships.

Tip-off from Rocket Arena in Cleveland is set for 11 a.m. ET. The all-time series is tied 2-2 with Miami winning both meetings this season – 86-84 on Jan. 27 and 86-77 on Feb. 17. Miami is a 7.5-point favorite in the latest UMass vs. Miami odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 165.5. 

Before making any UMass vs. Miami picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered conference tournament week on a sizzling 14-2 run on top-ranked over/under picks dating back to last year, and is on an 28-21 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated UMass vs. Miami 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations!

So who wins UMass vs. Miami, and which side of the spread hits over 60% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!