UFC Fight Night odds, picks: Seasoned MMA analyst reveals selections for Moreno vs. Kavanagh and other matchups at Mexico City on February 28

Sixth-ranked Brandon Moreno battles 15th-ranked Lone'er Kavanagh in a UFC flyweight bout in the main event at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh on Saturday at Arena CDMX in Mexico City. The preliminaries are set to begin at around 5 p.m. ET, with the main card at approximately 8 p.m. ET on Paramount+, which you can sign up for right here.

Moreno is coming off a loss by TKO to Tatsuro Taira at UFC 323 on Dec. 6, 2025. Kavanagh, meanwhile, suffered a knockout loss to Charles Johnson in the second round of their bout at UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang on Aug. 23, 2025.

Moreno is a -245 favorite (risk $245 to win $100), while Kavanagh comes back at +186 in the latest MMA odds for UFC Fight Night at FanDuel Sportsbook. The co-main event features a bantamweight bout between ninth-ranked Marlon Vera (+220) vs. 10-ranked David Martinez (-295).      

Before locking in any UFC Fight Night picks, you NEED to see the latest MMA predictions from SportsLine MMA analyst Kyle Marley.

Over the past three-plus years, $100 bettors who have followed Marley's picks are up nearly $10,000, and since May 2018, he has returned more than $21,000!

The accomplished MMA analyst has provided consistent winners for SportsLine members for the past five years. His accomplishments include hitting five consecutive main-event underdog winners in 2020 following the UFC's brief pause in action because of the pandemic. He also finished 9-5 on his picks on the Feb. 21 UFC card. Anyone who has followed Marley could be way up.

One of Marley's top UFC Fight Night picks: He is backing Ernesta Kareckaite to win via unanimous decision over Sofia Montenegro in a women's flyweight bout on the preliminary card. 

"Both ladies are decent strikers, but I do like Kareckaite in this one," Marley said. "Montenegro might have more one-punch power, but I don't expect to see a TKO. She is also more likely to wrestle, but I don't see her landing more than 1-2 takedowns. Kareckaite has good technique, and she can strike at a high pace while controlling the cage. Give me her to win 2-3 rounds."

Marley also has strong picks for Moreno vs. Kavanagh and other bouts on the UFC Fight Night card. He's calling for one main-card fight to end in a rapid knockout. You MUST see his UFC Fight Night picks before making any of your own.

Who wins Moreno vs. Kavanagh, and which other fighters do you need to back with UFC Fight Night predictions? ... Join SportsLine now to see which fighters you need to be all over Saturday, all from the expert who's up nearly $10,000 on MMA picks over the last three-plus years and was 9-5 on his picks Feb. 21!