UFC Fight Night odds, picks: Seasoned MMA analyst reveals selections for Moicano vs. Duncan and other matchups at Las Vegas on April 4

Tenth-ranked Renato Moicano battles Chris Duncan in a lightweight match in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan on Saturday at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas. The preliminaries are set to begin at around 5 p.m. ET, with the main card at approximately 8 p.m. ET on Paramount+. Moicano is coming off back-to-back losses, including a unanimous decision defeat to Beneil Dariush on June 28, 2025. Duncan, meanwhile, has won four in a row, including a submission victory over Terrance McKinney at UFC 323 on Dec. 6, 2025.

Duncan is a -192 favorite (risk $192 to win $100), while Moicano comes back at +160 in the latest UFC Fight Night odds at DraftKings Sportsbook. The co-main event features a women's strawweight bout between third-ranked Virna Jandiroba (+100) and seventh-ranked Tabitha Ricci (-120).      

Before locking in any UFC Fight Night picks, you NEED to see the latest MMA predictions from SportsLine MMA analyst Kyle Marley.

Over the past three-plus years, $100 bettors who have followed Marley's picks are up nearly $10,000, and since May 2018, he has returned more than $21,000! Anyone who has followed Marley could be way up. He went 6-6 in last weekend's card.

One of of Marley's UFC Fight Night picks: He is backing Jose Delano via submission in a featherweight bout on the preliminary card.

"Give me Delano here," Marley said. "I like him to be the better and faster striker. He is also going to be throwing higher volume. (Robert) Ruchala isn't a bad striker, but he should be looking to wrestle in this matchup. I don't think it will be enough, and I'll take Delano by TKO or UD."

Marley also has strong picks for Moicano vs. Duncan and other bouts on the UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan card. He's also backing a fighter who is "the better and more dangerous striker," to emerge with a big victory. You MUST see his UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan picks before making any of your own.

Who wins Moicano vs. Duncan, and which other fighters do you need to back with UFC Fight Night predictions? ... Join SportsLine now to see which fighters you need to be all over Saturday, all from the expert who's up nearly $10,000 on MMA picks over the last three-plus years!