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Twins vs. Red Sox line, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for Monday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Monday's matchup between the Minnesota Twins and the Boston Red Sox

By@SportsLinePublished: Apr 18, 2022 11:54AM UTC . 2 min read

The Boston Red Sox host the Minnesota Twins in a Patriots' Day matchup at 11:10 a.m. ET on Monday. Boston is listed as a -140 favorite (risk $140 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at nine (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). 

Before making any Twins vs. Red Sox picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, enters Week 2 of the 2022 season on a 216-181 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks that dates back to last season, returning over $900 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Twins have real power. Minnesota has 10 home runs in nine games, a top-five mark in the American League. The Twins also walk on 9.7 percent of plate appearances, showing patience, and Minnesota was a top-five team in the AL last season in both home runs and slugging percentage. The Twins are also leaning on a talented starting pitcher in Dylan Bundy, who navigated five innings with one hit and no earned runs in his first 2022 outing.

The model also knows Boston has a robust offense. The Red Sox are above-average in the AL with 42 runs scored, and Boston's 21.6 percent strikeout rate is strong. Boston also has a top-five slugging percentage (.388) in the American League, and no team has more doubles (20) than the Red Sox. Boston also finished in the top four of the American League in slugging percentage, batting average, and runs scored in 2021. 

Now, it has set its sights on Twins vs. Red Sox. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

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