The 2020 Tom Brady Fantasy football value remains strong, as he's set for another 4,500-yard campaign. He's a top-15 QB candidate in most formats, but how high should he be in your 2020 Fantasy football rankings? Here's what you need to know:
So which players are poised for breakouts, which sleepers do you need to jump on, and which busts should you avoid at all costs in your Fantasy football league? Join SportsLine now to get early 2020 Fantasy football rankings, plus see which WR is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that out-performed experts big time last season.
Tom Brady Fantasy ADP & ranking (via SportsLine's projection model)
No. 125.9 ADP
No. 17 QB
Tom Brady Fantasy projections (via SportsLine's projection model)
4,552 passing yards, 29.1 passing touchdowns, 13.3 interceptions, 29.4 rushing attempts, 40.5 rushing yards, 2.63 rushing touchdowns
353.8 Fantasy points (non-PPR)
Tom Brady 2020 Fantasy outlook
Here's how the Bucs and Patriots compare over the past two seasons:
2019:
Tampa Bay -- 7th in pass-to-rush ratio, 1st in pass attempts, 1st in air yards
New England -- 19th in pass-to-rush ratio, 4th in pass attempts, 9th in air yards
2018:
Tampa Bay -- 6th in pass-to-rush ratio, 1st in pass attempts, 1st in air yards
New England -- 26th in pass-to-rush ratio, 10th in pass attempts, 9th in air yards
Now, Brady is a different type of passer than Jameis Winston or Ryan Fitzpatrick. His skill set in his age-43 season doesn't seem like a natural fit in Bruce Arians' vertical downfield approach, and it is likely that Tampa Bay will conform their offense to best fit their $30M investment. I wouldn't expect the Bucs to lead the NFL in air yards in 2020.
Still, there's no way to classify this as anything other than a massive boost for Brady's Fantasy value. The Bucs boast two of the NFL's premiere receivers in Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, PFF's second- and seventh-highest graded receivers in 2019.
With far better weapons and a more pass-heavy offensive scheme at his disposal, Tom Brady goes from late-round Fantasy QB fodder to a clear top-12 option with upside for more. His lack of rushing stats somewhat caps Brady's Fantasy ceiling, so I wouldn't overreact and reach for him in drafts. At his current ADP, however, Brady does project as as slight value.
