Toledo vs. UMass odds, prediction: 2026 Mid-American Conference men's college basketball picks from proven model

The Toledo Rockets battle the Massachusetts Minutemen in Mid-American Conference action on Tuesday. Toledo is coming off an 87-84 loss at Kent State on Friday, while UMass dropped a 70-68 decision at Northern Illinois on Saturday. The Rockets (10-8, 4-2 MAC), who are fourth in the conference, are 3-4 on the road this season. The Minutemen (11-8, 2-5 MAC), who are 10th in the league, are 7-3 on their home court.

Tip-off from Mullins Center in Amherst, Mass., is set for 6 p.m. ET. Toledo leads the all-time series 3-1. UMass is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Toledo vs. UMass odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 164.5. 

Before making any Toledo vs. UMass picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times and entered Week 12 on a sizzling 10-1 run on top-ranked over/under picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Toledo vs. UMass 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations!

So who wins Toledo vs. UMass, and which side hits over 50% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!