The Minnesota Timberwolves are on the brink of elimination as they travel to play the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 5 of the 2025 NBA Western Conference finals on Monday. After the Wolves caught a 42-point victory in Game 3, they couldn't continue the positive momentum. The Thunder topped Minnesota 128-126 in Game 4 to take a 3-1 lead as the Thunder starters outscored the Wolves' starting five, 101-62.

Tipoff from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Oklahoma City is an 8.5-point favorite in the latest Timberwolves vs. Thunder odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. The over/under is 220.5 total points. OKC is priced at -350 on the money line (risk $350 to win $100), with Minnesota listed at +276 (risk $100 to win $276).

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The model has simulated Timberwolves vs. Thunder 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is going Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits almost 50% of the time!

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