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Tigers vs. Royals odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for Monday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Monday's matchup between the Detroit Tigers and the Kansas City Royals

By@SportsLinePublished: Jul 11, 2022 4:00PM UTC . 2 min read

The Kansas City Royals welcome the Detroit Tigers to town for the first game of a doubleheader at 2:10 p.m. ET on Monday. Kansas City is listed as a -140 favorite (risk $140 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at nine (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). 

Before making any Tigers vs. Royals picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is 271-232 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning well over $500 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

The model knows the Tigers are effective in run prevention. Detroit starter Michael Pineda is a 33-year-old former All-Star with a 3.62 ERA this season. He also walks only 1.7 batters per nine innings with a 1.17 WHIP. Pineda is holding right-handed batters to a .690 OPS and he has allowed three runs or fewer in all but one 2022 start.

The model also knows the Royals are speedy. Kansas City is in the top three of the American League in triples, with above-average overall pace on the base paths. The Royals are also adept at avoiding strikeouts, and Kansas City will hand the ball to Brad Keller. He has a 3.22 ERA over his last four starts, and Keller has a 1.38 ERA against Detroit this season.

Now, it has set its sights on Tigers vs. Royals. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one team has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

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