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Tigers vs. Guardians odds, lines: Advanced computer model reveals picks for April 18, 2023, matchup

SportsLine's Projection Model has generated picks for Tuesday's American League Central matchup between the Cleveland Guardians and Detroit Tigers

By@SportsLinePublished: Apr 18, 2023 1:41PM UTC . 3 min read

After Monday's game was rained out, the Detroit Tigers will host the Cleveland Guardians for a doubleheader on Tuesday. In Game 1, Cleveland will send Hunter Gaddis (0-1, 8.53 ERA) to the mound while Detroit will counter with Matthew Boyd (0-1, 4.00 ERA). With a doubleheader in store, both teams will have to manage their bullpen on Tuesday and that would certainly seem to favor the Guardians. Cleveland has a 3.23 bullpen ERA on the season while Detroit has a 5.46 bullpen ERA. However, the Tigers have won three in a row entering Tuesday.

Game 1 of the doubleheader is slated to begin at 1:10 p.m. ET at Comerica Park in Detroit. Cleveland is the -135 favorite on the money line (risk $135 to win $100) while Detroit is the +115 underdog in the latest Tigers vs. Guardians odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over/under for total runs scored is 8.5 (see the latest lines for every game on our MLB odds page).

Before making any Guardians vs. Tigers picks, you NEED to see the latest MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it finished the 2022 MLB season on a 20-14 roll. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns!

The model knows that Boyd will be looking to pitch around Jose Ramirez as best he can. The four-time all-star is 11-for-38 with three home runs, eight RBI and a .969 OPS in his career against Boyd. Ramirez is slashing .290/.400/.468 for the season so far but Cleveland is last in the American League with eight home runs in its first 16 games.

The model also knows Detroit will be hoping to take a page out of the Yankees playbook by crawling all over Gaddis early. The rookie was shelled for eight earned runs in three innings in his last start against New York and getting into the Cleveland bullpen early would bode well for Detroit's overall success on Tuesday. The Tigers scored seven runs in back-to-back wins over the Giants this weekend and will hope that the confidence from the 20 hits they piled up in those wins will carry over.

Now, it has set its sights on Tigers vs. Guardians. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 8.9 combined runs, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks of your own.

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