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Thunder vs. Nuggets odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for NBA playoff matchup on May 9, 2025

The SportsLine Projection Model, up well over $10,000 on NBA picks over the past six seasons, has locked in its best bets for Game 3 of the Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets in the 2025 NBA playoffs on Friday

ByPublished: May 10, 2025 12:20AM UTC . 2 min read

The top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder will look to regain the upper hand in their best-of-seven series when they battle the Denver Nuggets in Game 3 of their Western Conference semifinal matchup on Friday. OKC evened the series with a 149-106 win on Wednesday as eight different players for the Thunder scored in double-figures. The Thunder (68-14), who won the Northwest Division, are 34-8 on the road in 2024-25, including the playoffs. The Nuggets (50-32), the fourth seed in the West, are 29-16 on their home court this season.

Tipoff from Ball Arena in Denver is set for 10 p.m. ET. The Thunder are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Thunder vs. Nuggets odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 232.5. OKC is priced at -246 on the money line (risk $246 to win $100), while Denver is at +201 (risk $100 to win $201).

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Before making any Thunder vs. Nuggets picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the conference semifinals of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 159-116 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, including a 3-0 mark in the playoffs, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 23-11 (68%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Thunder vs. Nuggets 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is going Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations!

Who wins Thunder vs. Nuggets, and which side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 159-116 roll on top-rated NBA picks!

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Daniel Kohn

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