The No. 1 seed Oklahoma City Thunder are on the road to match up against the No. 4 seed Denver Nuggets in Game 4 of their Western Conference Semifinals on Sunday. The Nuggets picked up a 113-104 victory in an overtime duel on Friday night, giving them a 2-1 lead in the series. 

Tipoff from Ball Arena in Denver is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. Oklahoma City is a 7-point favorite in the latest Thunder vs. Nuggets odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. The over/under is 228.5 total points. The Thunder are priced at -290 on the money line (risk $290 to win $100), with Denver listed at +235 (risk $100 to win $235).

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The model has simulated Thunder vs. Nuggets 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is going Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread is the better value!

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