Texas vs. No. 5 UConn odds, prediction: 2025 men's college basketball picks from proven model

The fifth-ranked Connecticut Huskies look to extend their winning streak to six games when they take on the Texas Longhorns on Friday. Texas is coming off a 95-69 win over Southern on Monday, while UConn downed 18th-ranked Florida 77-73 on Tuesday. The Longhorns (7-3), who have won three of their last four, are 1-1 against ranked opponents this season. The Huskies (9-1), who are 5-0 against unranked opponents this season, are 5-1 on their home court in 2025-26.

Tip-off from PeoplesBank Arena in Hartford, Conn., is set for 8 p.m. ET. UConn leads the all-time series 8-3, including a 76-65 win at Texas last season. UConn is a 14.5-point favorite in the latest Texas vs. UConn odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 146.5.

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Before making any Texas vs. UConn picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times and has returned over $2,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks over the past three-plus seasons. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Texas vs. UConn 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations!

So who wins Texas vs. UConn, and which side hits in well over 50% of simulations? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!

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