Tennessee vs. Michigan odds, prediction: 2026 NCAA Tournament Elite Eight picks from proven model

A spot in the Final Four is on the line when the No. 6 seed Tennessee Volunteers take on the top-seeded Michigan Wolverines in an Elite Eight matchup on Sunday in the Midwest Region. The Wolverines (34-3) have rolled through the bracket relatively untested, beating Howard, Saint Louis and Alabama by at least 13 points. The Vols (25-11) have gotten hot after an uneven regular season, and they beat Miami (OH), Virginia and Iowa State to advance to their third straight Elite Eight. The Vols have never made the Final Four in program history. 

Tipoff from the United Center in Chicago is set for 2:15 p.m. ET. The latest Tennessee vs. Michigan odds list the Wolverines as 7.5-point favorites, while the over/under is 146.5. Before making any Michigan vs. Tennessee picks, you NEED to see the basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered the 2026 Sweet 16 on a sizzling 11-1 run on top-ranked over/under picks dating back to last year, and is on a 28-22 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Tennessee vs. Michigan 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Over on the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations!

So who wins Michigan vs. Tennessee, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!