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Steelers vs. Colts line, picks: Advanced computer NFL model releases selections for Saturday afternoon matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Saturday's matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Indianapolis Colts

By@SportsLinePublished: Dec 16, 2023 3:05PM UTC . 2 min read

The Pittsburgh Steelers will take on the Indianapolis Colts in an AFC showdown at 4:30 p.m. ET on Saturday. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Colts as one-point favorites, while the over/under is 42.5. Before making any Steelers vs. Colts picks, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 176-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 30-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

The model knows the Steelers are stout on defense. Pittsburgh is allowing only 266.5 total yards per game in the last four games, not allowing more than 303 total yards in any of those four contests. The Steelers are allowing only 19.2 points per game this season, No. 7 in the NFL, and that number dips to 16.3 points per game over the last nine contests.

The model also knows the Colts are facing a Steelers offense with pedestrian numbers. Pittsburgh has scored 18 points or fewer in four straight games. The Steelers are No. 27 in scoring offense this season, averaging only 1.31 points per drive. Indianapolis also has 18 straight games with a takeaway on defense, the longest streak in the league.

Now, it has set its sights on Steelers vs. Colts. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

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