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Spurs vs. Heat line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Saturday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Saturday's matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and the Miami Heat

By@SportsLinePublished: Dec 10, 2022 7:35PM UTC . 2 min read

The Miami Heat and the San Antonio Spurs meet for a cross-conference NBA tilt at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday. Miami is favored by 12 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 223.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Spurs vs. Heat picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated more than $1,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

The model knows the Spurs pass the ball at a high level. San Antonio is No. 4 in the NBA with 27.7 assists per game. The Spurs also generate an assist on 66.0% of field goals, ranking in the top three of the league. San Antonio is adept at creating extra opportunities on the glass with top-10 marks in offensive rebound rate and second-chance points. The model also knows the Heat have elite strengths on defense. Miami leads the NBA in free throw prevention, giving up only 19.3 attempts per game, and the Heat also sit atop the league in points allowed in the paint (44.9 per game). The Heat are also in the top eight of the NBA in turnover creation and defensive rebound rate.

Now, it has set its sights on Spurs vs. Heat. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

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