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Royals vs. Twins odds, lines: Advanced computer model reveals picks for April 28, 2023, matchup

SportsLine's Projection Model has generated picks for Friday's American League Central matchup between the Kansas City Royals and Minnesota Twins

By@SportsLinePublished: Apr 28, 2023 6:09PM UTC . 3 min read

Minnesota will look to continue their recent dominance over the Kansas City Royals when they meet Friday afternoon at Target Field in Minneapolis. The Twins (15-11), who have won all four meetings this season and 15 of the past 20, are 8-5 at home this season. The Royals (6-20), who are 5-8 on the road, are just 2-8 in their last 10 games. Minnesota has outscored its opponents 116-95 this season, a differential of plus-21, while Kansas City has been outscored 142-83, a minus-59 differential.

The game is slated to begin at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Twins are the -278 favorites on the money line (risk $278 to win $100) in the latest Royals vs. Twins odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total runs scored is 7.5 (see the latest lines for every game on our MLB odds page).

Before making any Royals vs. Twins picks, you NEED to see the latest MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it is on a 26-21 run dating back to the end of last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

The model knows Minnesota outfielder/designated hitter Byron Buxton has hit the Royals hard this season. In the opening series in Kansas City, he went 6-for-13 (.462) with a double and a triple. In Thursday's win, he homered and drove in three runs. He has hits in six of the past seven games, including three homers and seven RBI. In 55 career games against the Royals, he has eight homers and 24 RBI.

The model also knows Kansas City first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino has been red hot. He has hits in eight of his last nine games, including five in a row. He homered in Thursday's loss, and was 3-for-4 with a double in Monday's 5-4 loss at Arizona. For the season, Pasquantino is hitting .283 with five homers, eight RBI and 12 runs scored. In 12 career games against Minnesota, he is hitting .256 with one double, one homer and three RBI.

Now, it has set its sights on Royals vs. Twins. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 8.3 combined runs, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks of your own.

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