The Milwaukee Brewers will look to earn their first win of the season when they take on the Kansas City Royals in Milwaukee's home opener Monday. The Royals (1-2) who finished second in the American League Central and made the Wild Card playoffs at 86-76 a year ago, have been outscored 16-10 in three games. The Brewers (0-3), who won the National League Central at 93-69 last season, were outscored 36-14 by the Yankees over the past three games.
First pitch from American Family Field in Milwaukee is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Milwaukee is a -114 favorite on the money line (risk $114 to win $100) in the latest Royals vs. Brewers odds, while the over/under is 8.5 in the latest MLB odds via SportsLine consensus.
Before making any Royals vs. Brewers picks or MLB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It enters the 2025 MLB season on a 32-17 roll on top-rated run-line picks (+699) that dates back to 2023. Anybody following could have seen strong returns.
The model knows Milwaukee's starting rotation is shorthanded and the Brewers are expected to send right-hander Elvin Rodriguez to the mound on his 27th birthday. In eight career games, including five starts, he is 0-4 with a 9.55 ERA. In 33 innings, he has allowed 42 hits, 35 earned runs, 12 homers and 15 walks with 30 strikeouts. He has never faced Kansas City.
The model also knows former first-round draft pick Kris Bubic will start for Kansas City. This will be his sixth season with the Royals. The left-hander has pitched 97 games, including 60 starts, and is 11-29 with a 4.66 ERA. He pitched in relief during the 2024 season, going 1-1 in 27 appearances.
The model has simulated Royals vs. Brewers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!
Who wins Royals vs. Brewers, and which side of the money line has ALL the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the money line you should be all over, all from the model on a 32-17 roll on top-rated MLB picks!
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Written by Daniel Kohn
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