The 7 seed Golden State Warriors host the 2 seed Houston Rockets in a big-time Game 6 contest on Friday in the 2025 NBA playoffs. After winning two straight games to gain a 3-1 lead, the Warriors weren't able to end the series in Game 5. The Rockets were able to pick up a much-needed win on their home floor, defeating Golden State 131-116 as Houston led by as many as 31 points. Steph Curry (thumb) is listed as available.

Tipoff from Chase Center in Golden State is set for 9 p.m. ET. The Warriors are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Rockets vs. Warriors odds, while the over/under for total points is 207.5. Golden State is at -239 on the money line (risk $239 to win $100), while Houston is priced at +196 (risk $100 to win $196).

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The model has simulated Rockets vs. Warriors 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is going Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time!

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