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Rockets vs. Heat odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for NBA matchup on Saturday, February 28

The SportsLine Projection Model, up well over $10,000 on NBA picks over the past eight seasons, has locked in its bets for the Houston Rockets vs. Miami Heat on Saturday

ByUpdated: Feb 28, 2026 2:00AM UTC . 2 min read

The Houston Rockets look to win their fourth game in a row when they battle the Miami Heat in a key NBA matchup on Saturday. Houston is coming off a 113-108 win at Orlando on Thursday, while Miami dropped a 124-117 decision at Philadelphia that same night. The Rockets (37-21), who are second in the Southwest Division, are 17-14 on the road this season. The Heat (31-29), who are second in the Southeast Division, are 17-11 on their home floor. Jabari Smith (ankle) is out for Houston, while Miami will be without Nikola Jovic (back) and Norman Powell (groin).

Tip-off from Kaseya Center in Miami is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. The Heat lead the all-time series 42-34, including wins in nine of the last 10 meetings. The Rockets are a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Rockets vs. Heat odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 224.5. 

Before making any Rockets vs. Heat picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

SportsLine's model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model entered Week 19 on a sizzling 38-18 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Rockets vs. Heat 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time!

Who wins Rockets vs. Heat, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 38-18 roll on top-rated NBA picks!

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Daniel Kohn
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