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Reds vs. Brewers odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for Thursday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Thursday's matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and the Milwaukee Brewers

By@SportsLinePublished: May 05, 2022 4:17PM UTC . 2 min read

NL Central rivals face off when the Cincinnati Reds take on the Milwaukee Brewers at 1:40 p.m. ET on Thursday. Milwaukee is listed as a -245 favorite (risk $245 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 7.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). 

Before making any Reds vs. Brewers picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a sizzling start to the 2022 season. It's on a 28-13 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks through four weeks, returning over $1,100 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Reds are scuffling, but there is hope. Cincinnati had a soundly above-average offense in 2021, and the Reds have some pitching indicators that are positive in 2022. Hunter Greene, who will start for the Reds, has 22 strikeouts in 18 innings, and the 22-year-old is a former No. 2 overall pick. Cincinnati's bullpen has also been solid this season, with only 2.79 walks per nine innings and a 3.69 ERA.

The model also knows the Brewers have shown power in 2022. Milwaukee is No. 2 in the NL with 29 home runs, leading to a top-three mark with 118 runs scored. The Brewers are also in the top five of the NL in stolen bases, slugging percentage, and total bases. On the mound, Adrian Houser has a shiny 3.13 ERA since the start of the 2021 season, including a 2.53 ERA in four starts in 2022.

Now, it has set its sights on Reds vs. Brewers. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one team has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

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