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Rays vs. Red Sox odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for Monday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Monday's matchup between the Tampa Bays and the Boston Red Sox

By@SportsLinePublished: Jul 04, 2022 3:58PM UTC . 2 min read

The Boston Red Sox host the Tampa Bay Rays in an AL East clash at 1:35 p.m. ET on Monday. Boston is listed as a -115 favorite (risk $115 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 9.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). 

Before making any Rays vs. Red Sox picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. and it is 271-232 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning well over $500 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

The model knows the Rays have a quality pitching outlook on Monday. Jalen Beeks will begin the game on the mound, and he has a 2.91 ERA since the start of the 2020 season. Beeks maintains a 2.70 ERA in 2022, and he is striking out more than 11 batters per nine innings. Tampa Bay's bullpen also sports a 3.36 ERA for the season, including a top-three mark in the American League in walk avoidance.

The model also knows the Red Sox have the superior offense in this matchup. Boston is powerful and effective in run production, and the Red Sox also have an intriguing starting pitching option in Michael Wacha. The 31-year-old right-hander has a 2.69 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP this season. He allows less than one home run per nine innings, and Wacha has a 1.39 ERA at Fenway Park in 2022.

Now, it has set its sights on Rays vs. Red Sox. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one team has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

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