Raiders vs. Steelers line, picks: Advanced computer NFL model releases selections for Saturday's AFC matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Saturday's game between the Las Vegas Raiders and Pittsburgh Steelers
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The Pittsburgh Steelers will look to use the cold to their advantage when they take on the visiting Las Vegas Raiders on Saturday at Acrisure Stadium. The Steelers (6-8), who have won four of six, have a 67-33 record in the month of December since 2000. The Raiders (6-8), who have won four of five, are just 35-65 in December since the turn of the century. Las Vegas has won six of the last eight meetings with Pittsburgh.

Kickoff from Pittsburgh is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Pittsburgh is favored by 2 points in the latest Raiders vs. Steelers odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is 38.5. Before making any Raiders vs. Steelers picks, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 16 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 157-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

The model knows Pittsburgh quarterback Kenny Pickett is expected back this week to start against the Raiders after missing time with a concussion. In 10 games this season, Pickett has completed 191 of 294 passes (65%) for 1,797 yards and four touchdowns. He has also thrown eight interceptions and has a rating of 74.9. The rookie has continued to improve and has thrown two touchdowns and zero interceptions since Oct. 30. In a 37-30 loss at Cincinnati on Nov. 20, he completed 25 of 42 passes for 265 yards (59.5%) and one touchdown. He has also rushed for three scores.

The model also knows Las Vegas is led by quarterback Derek Carr, who has completed 289 of 472 passes (61.2%) for 3,348 yards and 23 touchdowns with 11 interceptions and an 89.2 rating. He is coming off a 231-yard and three-touchdown performance against the Patriots. He has thrown for two or more touchdowns in six of the last seven games.

Now, the model has set its sights on Raiders vs. Steelers on Saturday. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

Who wins Raiders vs. Steelers on Saturday? And which side of the spread cashes well over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Raiders vs. Steelers spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 157-113 roll on NFL picks!


SportsLine Staff

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