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Proven Soccerbot model reveals teams most likely to win 2018 FIFA World Cup

European soccer expert David Sumpter’s model has netted a mind-blowing 1800 percent return over three season. Now that the World Cup is down to two squads, it reveals the teams most likely to win it all.

By@SportsLineUpdated: Jul 12, 2018 12:25AM UTC . 2 min read
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European soccer expert David Sumpter is an applied mathematician who wrote "Soccermatics," the book that shows how math works inside the game. Together with experienced analysts, Sumpter developed the powerful Soccerbot model.

The Soccerbot reads current odds and all team performance data, calculates key metrics and predicts upcoming matches. In the two-and-a-half seasons since it was born, the Soccerbot is up 1800 percent on bookmakers' closing odds. That's right -- 1800 percent! And it's made some huge calls in the 2018 World Cup, including recommending Croatia at +135 on the money line in its massive semifinals win over England. 

Now that only two teams remain in the 2018 World Cup, plus a thrilling third-place game on tap, Sumpter's model has run the numbers and revealed the exact chance each team has to win its game.

We can tell you the model is calling for a low-scoring World Cup final between France and Croatia that will go Under 2.5 goals. And it has found value on one side winning it all, saying this team wins more often than the odds imply. It also has a strong take on the third-place game between England and Belgium.

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