Projected NASCAR leaderboard for the 2019 Toyota Owners 400

The NASCAR season rolls on Saturday with the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway, and the green flag drops at 7:30 p.m. ET. Our proven model has simulated this huge event 10,000 times to come up with a surprising projected leaderboard.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and recent results into account.

The model is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top five. It also called Kyle Busch's huge win at Bristol last week. Anybody who has followed its picks is WAY up.

For NASCAR at Richmond, we can tell you the model is high on Kyle Larson, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot at 25-1 odds. And a massive shocker: Martin Truex Jr., one of the top Vegas favorites at 6-1, doesn't even crack the top five. There are far better values in a loaded NASCAR at Richmond lineup.

The model is also targeting two OTHER drivers with 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds of 20-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2019 Toyota Owners 400? And which long shots stun NASCAR? ... Join SportsLine here to see the full projected final leaderboard for NASCAR at Richmond from the model that has crushed its NASCAR picks!