Pete's Best Bets: G-Men on MNF in Philly

I had to open my big mouth.

I was staring a 4-0-1 week in the face last week, meaning 8-1-1 over the past two weeks, and then I had to say it.

I smell a pick-six coming in this Oakland game.

Damn, if it didn't happen. I had Oakland getting 4.5 points against Denver, and, of course, Denver corner Chris Harris picked off Derek Carr and took it to the house with 6:53 left and Oakland driving.

There was some talk that a flyover by the Blue Angels caused a miscommunication, which is why receiver Seth Roberts never looked back for the football, making for an easy pick by Harris.

No matter what happened, it turned an undefeated week into a 3-1-1 week in my entries as part of Team Oddshark in the SuperContest at Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.

That's still not bad, but frustrating.

For the season, I am now 15-9-1 in the contest. I need more wins. This week, I want a donut in the loss column.

On to Week 6 ...

Broncos (-4.5) at Browns -- The Browns are riding high on offense with Josh McCown, but I think that stops here.

The Denver defense has been fantastic this season, ranking first in total defense and second in scoring defense. They will get after McCown and Peyton Manning bounce back from a bad week against the Raiders.

Jets (-6) vs. Redskins -- The Jets are coming off a bye.

The Redskins are playing consecutive road games. I hate that combo for the visitors.

The Jets are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven. Washington hung in against Atlanta last week, but I think the Jets defense will dominate here. Lay the big number.  

Titans (-2) vs. Dolphins -- This is the first game for interim Dolphins coach Dan Campbell.

But does that really matter?

The Dolphins just haven't been very good. The Titans lost a tough one last week to the Bills, but they will find a way to pull out a tight one here.

Marcus Mariota makes the big play to get the cover against the 29th-ranked Miami defense. 

49ers (+2.5) vs. Ravens -- I am bucking some trends here.

The 49ers are 2-5 against the spread while the Ravens and 1-5 straight up.

But this Ravens team is really struggling on defense and I think it will be just what the struggling 49ers offense needs to get going.

Baltimore lost to Oakland the last time they played in the Bay Area, and this will be no different. 

Giants (+4.5) at Eagles -- The Giants upset the Bills two weeks ago as a dog, a role that this team seems to like.

The Eagles got it going on offense last week against the Saints, but that New Orleans defense is awful.

The Giants are better than that. Even though New York is dinged up some, I think this will be a field-goal game. Give me the points. 

Pete Prisco is a Senior NFL Writer for CBSSports.com. You can follow Pete at @PriscoCBS