Pelicans vs. Heat line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Sunday matchup

The New Orleans Pelicans and the Miami Heat face off in a matinee battle at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday. Miami is favored by 7.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 217.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Pelicans vs. Heat picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 45-20 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Pelicans bring a high-powered offense. New Orleans is scoring 114.3 points per 100 possessions, and the Pelicans are No. 3 in the NBA in free throw creation. The Pelicans are also in the top ten in assists, field goal percentage, offensive rebound rate, second-chance points, and myriad additional categories. The model also knows the Heat have stars in Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo. Miami has a +7.9 net rating with both on the floor this season, and Butler and Adebayo are each averaging more than 21 points per game on at least 51% shooting. With the Heat also deploying a top-tier defense, Miami is difficult to beat at home.

Now, it has set its sights on Pelicans vs. Heat. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Pelicans vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Pelicans vs. Heat spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!