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Padres vs. Phillies odds, lines: Advanced computer model reveals picks for Saturday's NLCS Game 4

SportsLine's Projection Model has generated picks for Saturday's NLCS Game 4 matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres
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The San Diego Padres will try to level the National League Championship Series when they face the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday night. Philadelphia maintained its home-field advantage with a 4-2 win on Friday night, powered by a 2 of 3 day at the plate from third baseman Alec Bohm. San Diego scored eight consecutive runs in Game 2 to level the series, so the Padres will be looking for a similar performance on Saturday. 

First pitch from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia is set for 7:45 p.m. ET. The game is currently listed as a -110 pick'em (risk $110 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Padres vs. Phillies odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total runs scored is 8. (see the latest lines for every game on our MLB odds page).

Before making any Padres vs. Phillies picks, you NEED to see the latest MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it enters the league championship round on a 20-13 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks, returning more than $400. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows San Diego third baseman Manny Machado is set to bounce back after going 0 of 4 at the plate in Game 3. Machado had racked up three hits in Game 2 and closed the NLDS against the Dodgers with a two-hit game. He has eight home runs and has scored 14 runs in 26 games against Philadelphia. Machado has hit nine postseason home runs during his career and is poised to get back on track on Saturday. 

The model also knows Philadelphia designated hitter Bryce Harper has been on a tear this postseason, racking up 14 hits in 35 at-bats. Harper has hit four home runs and has driven in seven runs, batting at a .400 clip. He has nine home runs and has scored 20 runs in 28 postseason games during his career. Harper has been torching San Diego as well, hitting .300 with 12 home runs and 39 RBIs. 

Now, it has set its sights on Padres vs. Phillies. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks of your own.

So who wins Game 4 of Padres vs. Phillies? And which side of the money line has ALL the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Padres vs. Phillies run line you should be all over on Saturday, all from the model on a roll on MLB picks!

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SportsLine Staff

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