Oregon vs. Texas Tech odds, line: 2026 college football picks for Orange Bowl and College Football Playoff quarterfinal matchup from proven model

The fifth-ranked Oregon Ducks take on the fourth-ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders in a College Football Playoff quarterfinal matchup at the Orange Bowl on Thursday. Oregon defeated James Madison 51-34 on Dec. 20 in a CFP first-round matchup, while Texas Tech defeated BYU 34-7 in the Big 12 Championship Game on Dec. 6. The Ducks (12-1), who finished third in the Big Ten, have won seven in a row and are 2-1 against ranked opponents. The Red Raiders (12-1), who tied for first in the Big 12, have won six consecutive games and are 3-0 against ranked foes.

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Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla., is at noon ET. Oregon leads the all-time series 3-0, including a 38-30 win in 2023. The Ducks are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Oregon vs. Texas Tech odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 50.5 via SportsLine consensus. Oregon is at -134 on the money line (risk $134 to win $100).

Before making any Oregon vs. Texas Tech picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and it is 31-19 on rated college football money-line picks since the beginning of the 2024 season. 

The model has simulated Oregon vs. Texas Tech 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of simulations!

So who wins Oregon vs. Texas Tech, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times! 

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