Ole Miss vs. Georgia odds, line: 2026 college football picks for Sugar Bowl and College Football Playoff quarterfinal matchup from proven model

Two of the Southeastern Conference's top teams clash when the sixth-ranked Ole Miss Rebels battle the third-ranked Georgia Bulldogs in a College Football Playoff quarterfinal matchup at the Sugar Bowl on Thursday. Ole Miss is coming off a 41-10 win over Tulane on Dec. 20 in a CFP first-round matchup, while Georgia downed Alabama 28-7 in the SEC Championship Game on Dec. 6. The Rebels (12-1), who tied for the SEC regular-season title at 7-1, are 2-1 against ranked opponents this season. The Bulldogs (12-1), who also were tied for first at 7-1, were 5-1 against ranked foes. The 2026 Sugar Bowl winner will then face Miami in the Fiesta Bowl.

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Kickoff from Caesars Superdome in New Orleans is at 8 p.m. ET. Georgia leads the all-time series 34-14-1, including a 43-35 win on Oct. 18. The Bulldogs are 6-point favorites in the latest Ole Miss vs. Georgia odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 54.5 via SportsLine consensus, a 2-point drop since first opening. Georgia is at -236 on the money line (risk $236 to win $100), with Ole Miss priced at +193 (risk $100 to win $193).

Before making any Ole Miss vs. Georgia picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and it is 31-19 on rated college football money-line picks since the beginning of the 2024 season. 

The model has simulated Ole Miss vs. Georgia 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of simulations!

So who wins Ole Miss vs. Georgia, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times! 

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