Oklahoma vs. Baylor odds, prediction: 2026 The Crown Tournament semifinal picks from proven model

A spot in the College Basketball Crown title game is on the line when the Oklahoma Sooners battle the Baylor Bears on Saturday. Oklahoma is coming off a 90-86 overtime win over Colorado, while Baylor downed Minnesota 67-48 in Wednesday's quarterfinals. The Sooners (20-15), who tied for 11th in the Southeastern Conference with Auburn at 7-11, have won seven of their last eight games. The Bears (17-16), who tied for 13th in the Big 12 Conference at 6-12, have won two of their last three.

Tip-off from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas is set for 1:30 p.m. ET. Oklahoma leads the all-time series 46-25, including a 79-62 win in their last meeting on Dec. 13, 2024. Oklahoma is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Baylor vs. Oklahoma odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 157.5. 

Before making any Baylor vs. Oklahoma picks, you NEED to see the basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered the 2026 Final Four on a sizzling 11-1 run on its top-rated over/under college basketball picks dating back to last season, and is on a 28-22 run on top-rated CBB side picks. 

The model has simulated Baylor vs. Oklahoma 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Over on the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations!

So who wins Baylor vs. Oklahoma, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!