The first round of the 2024 Big 12 Conference Tournament has the Oklahoma State Cowboys and UCF Knights playing on Tuesday at 12:30 p.m. ET. UCF is a 5-point favorite in the latest Oklahoma State vs. UCF odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 136.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Oklahoma State vs. UCF picks, you need to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters 2024 conference championship week on a 145-104 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also has a strong 28-18 (+820) record on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows junior guard Jaylin Sellers has reached double-digit scoring in each of the past five games, including a 12-point performance at Oklahoma State on Feb. 28. He is coming off a 14-point effort in Saturday's win at TCU. Sellers, in his first season with the Knights after two years at Ball State, has played in 30 games, making 29 starts. He is averaging a team-best 16 points per game, while also adding 3.5 rebounds, 1.1 assists and 1.1 steals in 31.8 minutes.

The model also knows junior guard Javon Small is coming off a red-hot performance in the loss at BYU. Small scored 34 points, while connecting on 10 of 19 shots from the floor, including 5 of 9 from 3-point range, as well as 9 of 10 from the foul line. In 30 games, all starts, he is averaging 14.9 points, 4.8 rebounds, 4.2 assists and one steal in 32.9 minutes. In the regular-season meeting against UCF, Small scored 13 points, grabbed five rebounds and dished out two assists.

Now, the model has set its sights on Oklahoma State vs. UCF. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations! 

Who wins Oklahoma State vs. UCF, and which side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from that's on a 28-18 roll on top-rated college basketball spread picks!