The Los Angeles Lakers and Denver Nuggets face off at Crypto.com Arena for Game 4 of the 2023 NBA Western Conference finals at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday. The Nuggets lead the series by a 3-0 margin. Los Angeles is favored by 3.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 225.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Nuggets vs. Lakers picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the conference finals of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 72-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,900. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Nuggets punish opponents on the offensive side. Denver is scoring more than 1.2 points per possession in the series and more than 1.19 points per possession in the playoffs. The Nuggets are also shooting 41.4% from 3-point range against Los Angeles, with stellar supporting metrics to accompany that shooting. Denver leads the playoffs with an 11.7% turnover rate and 51.7 points in the paint per game. 

The model also knows the Lakers are taking care of the ball against the Nuggets. Los Angeles is averaging only 10.3 turnovers per game against Denver while also producing 27.7 assists per game. The Lakers have a stellar assist-to-turnover ratio (2.05) in the playoffs, and Los Angeles is also averaging 27.0 free throw attempts per game in the series.

Now, it has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Lakers. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Nuggets vs. Lakers? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Nuggets vs. Lakers spread you should be all over Monday, all from the model that's 72-38 on top-rated NBA picks!