Last year's two NBA Finals combatants collide once again when the Miami Heat host the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday at the Kaseya Center in Miami. In last year's Finals, the Nuggets needed just five games to beat the Heat and win the first NBA title in franchise history. This year, Denver (45-20) is tied with the Thunder for the best record in the Western Conference. Meanwhile the Heat (35-29) are in eighth place in the East.

Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Denver is listed as a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Nuggets vs. Heat odds while the Over/Under for total points scored is 217. (See up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page.)

Before making any Heat vs. Nuggets picks or NBA predictions, be sure to check out what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 70-46 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning nearly $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model knows that the Nuggets' Nikola Jokic is having another MVP-caliber season. The two-time regular season MVP ranks fourth in the league in both rebounds (12.3 per game) and assists (9.2) while averaging 26.2 points per game, which ranks 13th. He is coming off his 21st triple-double of the season: 35 points, 17 rebounds, 12 assists and a season-high six steals in a 125-119 victory over Toronto.

The model also has taken into account that the Heat's Terry Rozier enters the game on a roll. The 29-year-old guard, who was acquired from the Hornets in a trade in January, is averaging 18.0 points per game and shooting 48.0% from the field, including 38.9% on 3-pointers, in his last seven games. On Thursday, he had his best game yet since joining Miami, scoring 27 points and dishing out 11 assists against the Mavericks.

The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Heat 10,000 times, and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits 60% of the time.

Who wins Heat vs. Nuggets, and which side of the spread hits 60% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 70-46 roll on top-rated NBA picks.