The Denver Nuggets will look to close out their best-of-seven series when they battle the Los Angeles Clippers in Game 6 of their Western Conference first-round matchup on Thursday. The Nuggets (50-32), who won the 2022-2023 NBA championship, are 25-18 on the road this season, including the postseason. The Clippers (50-32), who have exited in the first round in each of the past two seasons, are 31-12 on their home court in 2024-2025. Denver grabbed a 3-2 series lead with a 131-115 win on Tuesday behind 43 points from Jamal Murray and a triple-double courtesy of Nikola Jokic. The teams split four regular-season matchups and have also split their two prior postseason series meetings.

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Tip-off from Intuit Dome at Inglewood, Calif., is set for 10 p.m. ET. The teams have split two previous playoff series. The Clippers are 6-point favorites in the latest Nuggets vs. Clippers odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 212.5. L.A. is at -256 on the money line (risk $256 to win $100), with Denver priced at +208 (risk $100 to win $208).

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The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Clippers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations!

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